Stop guessing. Start betting with a mathematical edge.
Posit+EV scans every major sportsbook and prediction market, finds where the books have the price wrong, and surfaces every +EV bet before the line moves — including Kalshi, Polymarket & NoVig, available in all 50 states.
This is your EV Pro dashboard
Every card is a real +EV opportunity — the team or outcome to bet, which book or prediction market has the edge, the exact odds, and a Kelly-sized stake recommendation. Refreshed every hour across 8 leagues so you always act before the line moves.
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The concept
What is +EV betting?
Every sportsbook builds a margin — the "vig" — into their odds. But books aren't perfect. When a book's implied probability is lower than the true probability of an outcome, that gap is your edge. Bet enough of these and the math works in your favor — the same way a casino's edge works for them.
Posit+EV removes the vig from the sharpest books to calculate true probability, then flags every line across every other book where the price is wrong. The example on the left is what that looks like in practice.
How it works
How Posit+EV finds the edge
Odds across every major book, every hour
We monitor moneylines, spreads, and totals across DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, and more — updated every hour across 8 leagues.
We find where the price is wrong
Our model calculates the true probability of each outcome using sharp-market consensus. When a book's implied probability is meaningfully lower than the true probability, that's your edge.
You get the bet, sized and ready
Every edge above our threshold is surfaced on your dashboard with the exact book, odds, and a conservative stake recommendation. No guesswork — just act.
Built-in intelligence for each sport
The model accounts for conditions that move lines — roster confirmations, fatigue, scheduling — so edges are filtered for quality, not just raw math.
What's New
Now tracking Prediction Markets
Kalshi, Polymarket & NoVig — the sharpest lines available, in all 50 states
Prediction markets are federally regulated exchanges that price outcomes with little to no house edge — making them the sharpest signal available. We compare them against every major sportsbook to find edges on both platforms.
Because prediction markets have near-zero vig, they often become the reference price for our EV calculations — making true probability estimates more accurate for ALL picks, not just prediction market ones.
CFTC-regulated prediction market
Global prediction exchange
Peer-to-peer betting exchange
Plans
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| Free | EV Pro | |
|---|---|---|
| Daily +EV pick by email | ✓ | ✓ |
| Full live dashboard | — | ✓ |
| All picks (10–30 per day) | — | ✓ |
| All 8 leagues & market types | — | ✓ |
| Kelly stake sizing | — | ✓ |
| +EV math explainer per pick | — | ✓ |
| 🔮 Prediction market picks (Kalshi, Polymarket, NoVig) | — | ✓ |
| Today & tomorrow filter | — | ✓ |
| Price | Free | $29/mo |
| Create free account → | Get EV Pro → |
Coverage
8 leagues. 4 market types. Every day.
NHL
National Hockey League
NBA
National Basketball Assoc.
MLB
Major League Baseball
EPL
English Premier League
La Liga
Spanish First Division
Bundesliga
German First Division
MLS
Major League Soccer
NCAAB
NCAA Men's Basketball
Ready to bet with the math on your side?
Sportsbooks or prediction markets — we find every edge. 8 leagues, refreshed every hour, with Kelly sizing and a math explainer on every pick.
Important Disclosures
No guarantee of results. All picks and analysis provided by Posit+EV are based on mathematical models and publicly available odds data. These picks are not guaranteed winners. Positive expected value is a long-run statistical concept — individual bets can and will lose. Past performance of any model or pick does not guarantee future results.
No profit guarantee. Posit+EV does not guarantee that use of this service will result in a profit. Sports betting involves risk, and you may lose some or all of the money you wager. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Data accuracy & delays. Posit+EV is not liable for any inaccuracy, incompleteness, or delay in odds data, game information, or live event details displayed on this website. Odds and lines can change rapidly; always verify current odds directly with your sportsbook before placing any wager.
Subscription terms. EV Pro subscriptions provide 30 days of access from the date of purchase. If a scheduled payment fails, access is immediately revoked. If you cancel before your 30-day period ends, you will retain full access through the end of the period already paid for — no partial refunds are issued. Payments are processed securely through Stripe.